Pausanias Analysis

Connectedness feature reference

Mean Action Cosine with Neighbors

The average cosine similarity between the focal place's action-count profile and those of all operational neighbours.

Stored model field: mean_action_cosine_with_neighbors

-0.085standardized coefficient
Does not survivecurrent direction
255observations summarized
Action profilesfeature group

How It Is Calculated

Calculate action-profile cosine similarity for every local neighbour and take the arithmetic mean; neighbours with empty profiles contribute zero, and places with no neighbours receive zero.

What a higher value means

The focal place's action profile is more consistently similar to its neighbourhood.

Important qualification. The mean is affected by neighbours with no recorded action profile and therefore partly reflects MANTO coverage.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

GroupN MinimumQ1 MedianMean Q3Maximum
All labelled places2550.0000.0000.0000.0740.0001.000
Survives2040.0000.0000.0000.0760.0001.000
Does not survive510.0000.0000.0000.0660.0000.667

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

PlaceMANTO ID ValuePausanias reports
🌍 Nessonis (alt. Thessaly)113077621.000Survives
🌍 Clazomenai (Ionia)81951350.974Survives
🌍 Coroneia (Thessaly)113073800.869Survives
🌍 Pherai (Thessaly)82288920.728Survives
🌍 Astyra (Troad)113115270.707Survives
🌍 Helos (Laconia)82539650.667Does not survive

Examples with low recorded values

PlaceMANTO ID ValuePausanias reports
🌍 Abai (Phocis)102746870.000Survives
🌍 Abia (Messenia)101135050.000Survives
🌍 Acacesion (Arcadia)101261850.000Survives
🌍 Ace (Arcadia)102145170.000Survives
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)101530560.000Survives
🌍 Acriai (Laconia)101494180.000Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is -0.085, pointing toward does not survive. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional associationβ€”not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

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