Pausanias Analysis

Connectedness feature reference

Attestation Span in Years

The number of years between the earliest and latest eligible dated MANTO relationships involving the focal place.

Stored model field: attestation_span_years

-0.167standardized coefficient

Does not survivecurrent direction

255observations summarized

Temporal evidencefeature group

How It Is Calculated

Subtract earliest_attestation_year from latest_attestation_year for places with dated evidence; use zero for an unattested place.

What a higher value means

The imported evidence for the place spans a longer period.

Important qualification. A zero can mean either one dated point or no dated evidence, so it must be read with the earliest and latest features.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

Group	N	Mean	Q3	Maximum
All labelled places	255	190	479	779
Survives	204	190	479	779
Does not survive	51	192	389	779

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Value	Pausanias reports
🌍 Aigina (city)	`10191987`	779	Survives
🌍 Anthedon (Boiotia)	`9651961`	779	Survives
🌍 Arcadia	`8228863`	779	Survives
🌍 Argos (city)	`8228853`	779	Survives
🌍 Calydon (Aitolia)	`8254028`	779	Survives
🌍 Copai (Boiotia)	`9651950`	779	Survives

Examples with low recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Pausanias reports
🌍 Abia (Messenia)	`10113505`	Survives
🌍 Acacesion (Arcadia)	`10126185`	Survives
🌍 Ace (Arcadia)	`10214517`	Survives
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)	`10153056`	Survives
🌍 Acriai (Laconia)	`10149418`	Survives
🌍 Aegina (Epidauria)	`11308185`	Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is -0.167, pointing toward does not survive. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional association—not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

The feature is calculated from MANTO release 19446255 using evidence dated strictly before Pausanias.
The current labelled cohort contains 255 distinct MANTO places.
The prediction target is whether Pausanias reports a place as surviving or not surviving, not its modern archaeological condition.
Feature values and examples may change when MANTO releases, links, labels, or feature definitions are revised.

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