Pausanias Analysis

Connectedness feature reference

Archaic Attestation Count

The number of eligible dated MANTO relationship edges involving the focal place whose latest evidence date is 480 BCE or earlier.

Stored model field: archaic_story_count

+0.474standardized coefficient
Survivescurrent direction
255observations summarized
Temporal evidencefeature group

How It Is Calculated

For each eligible edge touching the place, inspect evidence_latest_year and count it in the archaic stratum when the year is at most βˆ’480.

What a higher value means

More place-related MANTO edges have evidence securely ending in the archaic stratum.

Important qualification. Despite the stored feature name, this counts dated relationship edges, not independently reconstructed stories.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

GroupN MinimumQ1 MedianMean Q3Maximum
All labelled places2550001075
Survives2040001075
Does not survive510001017

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

PlaceMANTO ID ValuePausanias reports
🌍 Pylos (Messenia)822886075Survives
🌍 Thebes (Boiotia)825396017Does not survive
🌍 Larisa (Troad)971866811Survives
🌍 Arcadia82288639Survives
🌍 Argos (city)82288537Survives
🌍 Rome (Italy)102669566Survives

Examples with low recorded values

PlaceMANTO ID ValuePausanias reports
🌍 Abai (Phocis)102746870Survives
🌍 Abia (Messenia)101135050Survives
🌍 Acacesion (Arcadia)101261850Survives
🌍 Ace (Arcadia)102145170Survives
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)101530560Survives
🌍 Acriai (Laconia)101494180Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is +0.474, pointing toward survives. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional associationβ€”not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

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