Pausanias Analysis

Connectedness feature reference

Classical Attestation Count

The number of eligible dated MANTO relationship edges involving the focal place whose latest evidence date falls from 479 to 323 BCE.

Stored model field: classical_story_count

+0.314standardized coefficient

Survivescurrent direction

255observations summarized

Temporal evidencefeature group

How It Is Calculated

Count eligible edges touching the place when evidence_latest_year is between −479 and −323 inclusive.

What a higher value means

More place-related MANTO edges are attested within the classical stratum.

Important qualification. This counts relationship edges by their latest evidence date and is sensitive to source dating and database coverage.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

Group	N	Mean	Maximum
All labelled places	255	5	431
Survives	204	4	95
Does not survive	51	10	431

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Value	Pausanias reports
🌍 Thebes (Boiotia)	`8253960`	431	Does not survive
🌍 Syracuse (Sicily)	`11295783`	95	Survives
🌍 Chersonesos (Thrace)	`8254467`	87	Survives
🌍 Olympia (Elis)	`9605463`	63	Survives
🌍 Opous (Locris)	`8253989`	63	Survives
🌍 Argos (city)	`8228853`	62	Survives

Examples with low recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Pausanias reports
🌍 Abai (Phocis)	`10274687`	Survives
🌍 Abia (Messenia)	`10113505`	Survives
🌍 Acacesion (Arcadia)	`10126185`	Survives
🌍 Ace (Arcadia)	`10214517`	Survives
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)	`10153056`	Survives
🌍 Acriai (Laconia)	`10149418`	Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is +0.314, pointing toward survives. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional association—not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

The feature is calculated from MANTO release 19446255 using evidence dated strictly before Pausanias.
The current labelled cohort contains 255 distinct MANTO places.
The prediction target is whether Pausanias reports a place as surviving or not surviving, not its modern archaeological condition.
Feature values and examples may change when MANTO releases, links, labels, or feature definitions are revised.

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