Pausanias Analysis

Connectedness feature reference

Hellenistic Attestation Count

The number of eligible dated MANTO relationship edges involving the focal place whose latest evidence date falls from 322 to 31 BCE.

Stored model field: hellenistic_story_count

+0.154standardized coefficient

Survivescurrent direction

255observations summarized

Temporal evidencefeature group

How It Is Calculated

Count eligible edges touching the place when evidence_latest_year is between −322 and −31 inclusive.

What a higher value means

More place-related MANTO edges are attested within the Hellenistic stratum.

Important qualification. This is a count of dated relationship edges, not an independent count of historical events.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

Group	N	Mean	Maximum
All labelled places	255	1	80
Survives	204	1	80
Does not survive	51	1	18

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Value	Pausanias reports
🌍 Cythera (island)	`8194546`	80	Survives
🌍 Scandeia (Cythera)	`9904053`	27	Survives
🌍 Lerna (Argolid)	`8253954`	18	Survives
🌍 Libya (North Africa)	`8253951`	18	Does not survive
🌍 Pisa (Italy)	`11313573`	15	Does not survive
🌍 Sicily (island)	`8254007`	15	Survives

Examples with low recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Pausanias reports
🌍 Abia (Messenia)	`10113505`	Survives
🌍 Acacesion (Arcadia)	`10126185`	Survives
🌍 Ace (Arcadia)	`10214517`	Survives
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)	`10153056`	Survives
🌍 Acriai (Laconia)	`10149418`	Survives
🌍 Aegina (Epidauria)	`11308185`	Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is +0.154, pointing toward survives. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional association—not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

The feature is calculated from MANTO release 19446255 using evidence dated strictly before Pausanias.
The current labelled cohort contains 255 distinct MANTO places.
The prediction target is whether Pausanias reports a place as surviving or not surviving, not its modern archaeological condition.
Feature values and examples may change when MANTO releases, links, labels, or feature definitions are revised.

Return to all 41 features · Return to the predictive model