Connectedness feature reference
The number of eligible dated MANTO relationship edges involving the focal place whose latest evidence date falls from 30 BCE through 170 CE.
Stored model field:
early_imperial_story_count
Count eligible edges touching the place when evidence_latest_year is between β30 and 170 inclusive. The model-facing import still enforces the strict pre-Pausanias evidence policy.
More place-related MANTO edges are attested in the permitted early imperial stratum.
These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.
| Group | N | Minimum | Q1 | Median | Mean | Q3 | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All labelled places | 255 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 276 |
| Survives | 204 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 276 |
| Does not survive | 51 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 260 |
Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.
| Place | MANTO ID | Value | Pausanias reports |
|---|---|---|---|
| π Thessaly | 9055627 | 276 | Survives |
| π Thebes (Boiotia) | 8253960 | 260 | Does not survive |
| π Pherai (Thessaly) | 8228892 | 118 | Survives |
| π Sicily (island) | 8254007 | 116 | Survives |
| π Libya (North Africa) | 8253951 | 114 | Does not survive |
| π Nineveh (Mesopotamia) | 11301261 | 103 | Does not survive |
| Place | MANTO ID | Value | Pausanias reports |
|---|---|---|---|
| π Abia (Messenia) | 10113505 | 0 | Survives |
| π Acacesion (Arcadia) | 10126185 | 0 | Survives |
| π Ace (Arcadia) | 10214517 | 0 | Survives |
| π Acharnai (Attica) | 10153056 | 0 | Survives |
| π Agrai (Attica) | 10151548 | 0 | Survives |
| π Aigiai (Laconia) | 10146647 | 0 | Survives |
Its current standardized coefficient is -0.696, pointing toward does not survive. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.
Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional associationβnot a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.