Pausanias Analysis

Connectedness feature reference

Early Imperial Attestation Count

The number of eligible dated MANTO relationship edges involving the focal place whose latest evidence date falls from 30 BCE through 170 CE.

Stored model field: early_imperial_story_count

-0.696standardized coefficient
Does not survivecurrent direction
255observations summarized
Temporal evidencefeature group

How It Is Calculated

Count eligible edges touching the place when evidence_latest_year is between βˆ’30 and 170 inclusive. The model-facing import still enforces the strict pre-Pausanias evidence policy.

What a higher value means

More place-related MANTO edges are attested in the permitted early imperial stratum.

Important qualification. This is close to Pausanias's period and therefore depends especially on conservative source dating; Pausanias-derived edges remain excluded.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

GroupN MinimumQ1 MedianMean Q3Maximum
All labelled places2550021519276
Survives2040021418276
Does not survive510062123260

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

PlaceMANTO ID ValuePausanias reports
🌍 Thessaly9055627276Survives
🌍 Thebes (Boiotia)8253960260Does not survive
🌍 Pherai (Thessaly)8228892118Survives
🌍 Sicily (island)8254007116Survives
🌍 Libya (North Africa)8253951114Does not survive
🌍 Nineveh (Mesopotamia)11301261103Does not survive

Examples with low recorded values

PlaceMANTO ID ValuePausanias reports
🌍 Abia (Messenia)101135050Survives
🌍 Acacesion (Arcadia)101261850Survives
🌍 Ace (Arcadia)102145170Survives
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)101530560Survives
🌍 Agrai (Attica)101515480Survives
🌍 Aigiai (Laconia)101466470Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is -0.696, pointing toward does not survive. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional associationβ€”not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

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