Pausanias Analysis - Direct Place Neighbor Count

Direct Place Neighbor Count

The number of distinct places joined directly to the focal place in the constructed place graph.

Stored model field: direct_place_neighbor_count

-0.394standardized coefficient

Does not survivecurrent direction

255observations summarized

Place neighbourhoodfeature group

How It Is Calculated

Count adjacent place nodes created from eligible MANTO place-to-place relationships, including the constructed somewhere-in-or-near edge between a place and its recorded parent locality.

What a higher value means

The focal place has direct graph ties to more other places.

Important qualification. A direct graph tie can be narrative or hierarchical. It need not be a road, border, or measured geographic adjacency.

Current Model Cohort

These descriptive statistics use the current labelled cohort after aliases have been collapsed to one row per MANTO place.

Group	N	Median	Mean	Q3	Maximum
All labelled places	255	1	5	6	89
Survives	204	1	4	5	38
Does not survive	51	1	7	8	89

Examples from the Current Data

Examples are descriptive checks on the calculated feature. Their outcome labels report what Pausanias says; they do not establish that the feature caused survival or abandonment.

Examples with high recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Value	Pausanias reports
🌍 Thebes (Boiotia)	`8253960`	89	Does not survive
🌍 Libya (North Africa)	`8253951`	43	Does not survive
🌍 Thessaly	`9055627`	38	Survives
🌍 Arcadia	`8228863`	37	Survives
🌍 Argos (city)	`8228853`	36	Survives
🌍 Boiotia	`8195196`	33	Does not survive

Examples with low recorded values

Place	MANTO ID	Pausanias reports
🌍 Acharnai (Attica)	`10153056`	Survives
🌍 Acriai (Laconia)	`10149418`	Survives
🌍 Agrai (Attica)	`10151548`	Survives
🌍 Aigai (Macedonia)	`11321421`	Does not survive
🌍 Aigiai (Laconia)	`10146647`	Survives
🌍 Aigialeia (alt. Sicyon)	`10157818`	Survives

Interpretation in the Predictive Model

Its current standardized coefficient is -0.394, pointing toward does not survive. This means that a one-standard-deviation increase changes the fitted log odds in that direction while the other included features are held fixed.

Because the connectedness features are correlated and the model's out-of-fold performance is weak, this is a conditional association—not a standalone ranking, causal effect, or historical explanation.

Related Features

Data Scope

The feature is calculated from MANTO release 19446255 using evidence dated strictly before Pausanias.
The current labelled cohort contains 255 distinct MANTO places.
The prediction target is whether Pausanias reports a place as surviving or not surviving, not its modern archaeological condition.
Feature values and examples may change when MANTO releases, links, labels, or feature definitions are revised.

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