Pausanias Analysis

Sentence-level words and phrases that predict mythic vs. historical content

Model Performance Metrics

The following metrics are from the logistic regression classifier's performance on the test set:

Class Precision Recall F1-Score Support
Historical 0.772 0.687 0.727 716
Mythic 0.557 0.660 0.605 427
Overall Accuracy 0.677 1143

Sentence Predictors of Mythic Content

Sort by:
Word/Phrase English Coefficient Mythic Count Non-mythic Count p-value q-value
θυγάτηρ daughter 3.0310 114 24 7.92e-29 7.92e-26
μνῆμα memorial, monument (especially a tomb) 2.3657 83 44 6.53e-11 1.63e-08
ἔποσ a word 2.3008 56 17 3.59e-12 1.2e-09
λόγοσ word; speech; account; reason; argument 2.2520 114 93 8.36e-08 7.34e-06
ὄνομα name 2.1464 122 71 7.05e-14 3.52e-11
βασιλεύω to be king; to reign; to rule 2.0667 83 50 2.11e-09 3.27e-07
ὑπό under; by (of agent) 1.9987 232 224 3.64e-10 7.29e-08
ἁρπάζω to seize, snatch, carry off 1.9429 20 3 1.09e-06 7.27e-05
συνοικέω to live together; cohabit; be married (to) 1.8634 30 5 2.29e-09 3.27e-07
ἱδρύω to establish, found; to set up, seat 1.7738 19 4 9.68e-06 0.000372
ἀδελφόσ brother 1.6876 28 15 0.000185 0.00411
τίκτω to beget, give birth to; bring forth, produce 1.6819 26 9 7.03e-06 0.000281
ἔρχομαι I come; I go 1.6598 81 66 6.86e-06 0.000281
αὐτόσ ἐν he himself in 1.5634 19 6 7.04e-05 0.00201
ἡρῶιον a hero’s shrine 1.5578 20 11 0.00192 0.0234
ὅτι that; because 1.5266 72 68 0.000461 0.00887
κομίζω I bring, carry, convey 1.5105 44 31 0.000136 0.00321
γένοσ race; kind 1.4759 30 23 0.00376 0.0376
καθέζομαι I sit down 1.4500 13 2 0.00011 0.00282
ἔνθα there; where; then 1.4474 46 43 0.00468 0.0446
βασιλεία kingdom 1.3949 24 22 0.0364 0.156
τελευτή end; completion; death 1.3880 26 20 0.00721 0.0542
πρῶτοσ first 1.3872 94 97 0.000494 0.00933
ὄνομα ἀπό name from 1.3641 21 2 8.81e-08 7.34e-06
ὁμολογέω to agree, admit, or confess 1.3131 23 10 0.000138 0.00321
οἶκοσ house; home 1.3099 18 8 0.000861 0.0139
οἰκιστήσ founder (of a colony) 1.2944 14 3 0.000172 0.00391
εὑρίσκω I find, discover 1.2909 37 34 0.00947 0.0653
ἄιδω I sing 1.2832 15 8 0.00616 0.0485
δοκέω to seem; to think, suppose 1.2788 59 58 0.00293 0.0322

Sentence Predictors of Historical Content

Sort by:
Word/Phrase English Coefficient Mythic Count Non-mythic Count p-value q-value
μάλιστα especially; very much; certainly -2.2512 45 178 2.65e-08 2.94e-06
χρῆμα thing; matter; (in the plural) goods, money -1.9022 3 50 1.67e-07 1.19e-05
χαλκοῦσ of bronze -1.8880 12 92 3.06e-09 3.83e-07
παρέχω I provide -1.7852 8 69 8.4e-08 7.34e-06
πράσσω to do, act; to fare -1.6779 3 26 0.00178 0.0227
ἐναντίοσ opposite; contrary; hostile -1.6421 4 32 0.000778 0.013
ἀπέχω to be distant; to keep away; to abstain (from) -1.5608 5 47 5.46e-06 0.000237
θέα sight; view; spectacle -1.5522 6 52 3.27e-06 0.00016
στρατηγόσ general -1.5420 2 28 0.000209 0.00455
δέ οὗτοσ but this man -1.4867 28 74 0.0384 0.156
ἑκατόν one hundred -1.4848 0 28 3.52e-06 0.00016
αὖθισ again -1.3734 18 65 0.00238 0.0278
φανερόσ evident -1.3689 2 22 0.00242 0.0278
τυραννέω to tyrannize; to rule as a tyrant -1.3657 1 21 0.000658 0.0113
ἄκροσ topmost -1.3621 4 29 0.00193 0.0234
πολιορκία siege -1.3412 1 20 0.00109 0.0172
καί αὐτόσ and he himself -1.3400 54 134 0.0144 0.0821
ἀπαγγέλλω to report, announce -1.3305 1 14 0.0141 0.0821
σφεῖσ they -1.3258 163 419 1.2e-06 7.5e-05
πολύσ much; many -1.3212 64 195 1.47e-05 0.000546
δεξιόσ right (on the right; right-hand) -1.2939 8 40 0.00181 0.0227
πρότεροσ earlier, former, previous -1.2515 10 34 0.0405 0.156
εἶμι I go; I will go -1.2491 7 36 0.00259 0.0294
κατά down (from); against; according to; along -1.2353 131 305 0.00139 0.0209
καθαιρέω to take down; to pull down; to demolish; to destroy; to depose -1.2276 1 15 0.00855 0.0611
ἀναγκάζω to compel; to force -1.2176 1 16 0.00525 0.0457
διαβαίνω to cross -1.2158 12 48 0.00398 0.0394
καί ἔτι and furthermore -1.2043 8 33 0.0143 0.0821
τριήρησ trireme -1.1868 2 18 0.0102 0.0677
πρῶτοσ μέν first (on the one hand) -1.1866 3 18 0.0392 0.156

Simplified Checklist Version

This reduced model keeps only the words or phrases with q-value below 0.1, then turns them into a simple checklist.

Start at -0.18 points. If one of the items below appears at least once, add its points once. If the final score ends above 0, classify the text as Mythic. That is the same as saying the listed word-points must add up past +0.18.

Full logistic model: 67.7% | Simplified checklist: 69.3% | Always guess Historical: 62.6%

This shorter model uses 183 statistically strong vocabulary items.

These confusion matrices show which texts each approach gets right and where it makes false alarms or misses.

Full Logistic Model

Predicted
Historical Mythic
Actual Historical 492 224
Mythic 145 282

Simplified Checklist

Predicted
Historical Mythic
Actual Historical 526 190
Mythic 161 266

Always Guess Historical

Predicted
Historical Mythic
Actual Historical 716 0
Mythic 427 0
Word/Phrase English Points If Seen Pushes Toward q-value
ἀπαγγέλλω to report, announce -6.35 Historical 0.0821
ἑσπέρα evening -5.05 Historical 0.0933
τυραννίσ tyranny -4.45 Historical 0.0329
ἐπιτήδειοσ suitable, convenient, useful; friendly, well-disposed -4.39 Historical 0.0227
ἑκατόν one hundred -4.29 Historical 0.00016
ἐπικρατέω to prevail (over), gain the upper hand; to rule -4.24 Historical 0.0933
ἁρπάζω to seize, snatch, carry off +4.23 Mythic 7.27e-05
ὄνομα ἀπό name from +4.16 Mythic 7.34e-06
παρασκευάζω to prepare -4.14 Historical 0.0333
διακόσιοι two hundred -4.10 Historical 0.0227
ἀτραπόσ path -4.06 Historical 0.0647
ἑξήκοντα sixty -3.99 Historical 0.0227
πεντακόσιοι five hundred -3.97 Historical 0.0647
μέν κατά on the one hand, according to -3.92 Historical 0.0647
χαλκοῦσ καί of bronze and -3.90 Historical 0.0227
θυγάτηρ δέ but the daughter +3.41 Mythic 9.36e-06
ὀγδοήκοντα eighty -3.32 Historical 0.0457
ἀναγκάζω to compel; to force -2.92 Historical 0.0457
τυραννέω to tyrannize; to rule as a tyrant -2.44 Historical 0.0113
πράσσω to do, act; to fare -2.44 Historical 0.0227
φυγή flight, escape, exile -2.27 Historical 0.0611
τριήρησ trireme -2.21 Historical 0.0677
ἄγω καί I lead and -2.20 Historical 0.0461
γενεά generation +2.16 Mythic 0.0215
καθέζομαι I sit down +2.14 Mythic 0.00282
χρῆμα thing; matter; (in the plural) goods, money -2.11 Historical 1.19e-05
στρατηγόσ general -2.11 Historical 0.00455
ἱδρύω to establish, found; to set up, seat +2.10 Mythic 0.000372
συνοικέω to live together; cohabit; be married (to) +2.09 Mythic 3.27e-07
πολιορκία siege -2.07 Historical 0.0172
ἑορτή festival -2.07 Historical 0.00786
ἀνάστατοσ uprooted; driven from one's home -2.06 Historical 0.0457
οὗτοσ γίγνομαι I become this. +2.05 Mythic 0.00553
οἰκιστήσ founder (of a colony) +1.97 Mythic 0.00391
ἐναντίοσ opposite; contrary; hostile -1.92 Historical 0.013
συγγίγνομαι to associate with, meet with; have intercourse with (depending on context) +1.74 Mythic 0.0498
καθαιρέω to take down; to pull down; to demolish; to destroy; to depose -1.67 Historical 0.0611
δεξιόσ right (on the right; right-hand) -1.66 Historical 0.0227
καί πρότερον and previously -1.66 Historical 0.0457
μνῆμα καί memorial and +1.66 Mythic 0.0542
ἀφίστημι to cause to revolt or remove; (intrans./middle) to revolt, fall away, withdraw, depart -1.65 Historical 0.0105
καί ἔτι and furthermore -1.63 Historical 0.0821
θυγάτηρ εἰμί I am a daughter +1.62 Mythic 0.00016
καθαίρω to cleanse, purify +1.62 Mythic 0.034
αὐτόσ ἐν he himself in +1.62 Mythic 0.00201
ἄκροσ topmost -1.61 Historical 0.0234
παραδίδωμι to hand over; to deliver; to betray +1.57 Mythic 0.0485
ἀδελφόσ brother +1.56 Mythic 0.00411
κόσμοσ world; order; universe -1.55 Historical 0.0457
ἔποσ a word +1.52 Mythic 1.2e-09
προσήκω to be fitting/appropriate; to belong to; to be related (by kinship) +1.48 Mythic 0.0705
ἰσχυρόσ strong -1.48 Historical 0.0821
μανθάνω to learn +1.48 Mythic 0.0705
ἀποθνήισκω ὑπό to die from; be killed by +1.45 Mythic 0.00164
ἀπό μέν from, on the one hand +1.42 Mythic 0.0209
ἀποφαίνω to reveal, display, declare +1.41 Mythic 0.0209
θέα sight; view; spectacle -1.39 Historical 0.00016
ἀμφισβητέω to dispute, contest, or question +1.35 Mythic 0.0498
ἐμβάλλω to throw in; to put into; to attack, invade -1.33 Historical 0.0438
ἀπέχω to be distant; to keep away; to abstain (from) -1.32 Historical 0.000237
ἡρῶιον a hero’s shrine +1.31 Mythic 0.0234
αὖθισ again -1.30 Historical 0.0278
δέ οὖν and so +1.30 Mythic 0.0713
εἶμι I go; I will go -1.29 Historical 0.0294
μνῆμα memorial, monument (especially a tomb) +1.27 Mythic 1.63e-08
πείθομαι I obey +1.26 Mythic 0.0485
τεσσαράκοντα forty -1.25 Historical 0.0611
ἥκω I have come -1.22 Historical 0.0116
ὅτι μέν that indeed +1.22 Mythic 0.0108
κίων pillar, column -1.22 Historical 0.0677
καί πρῶτοσ and first +1.21 Mythic 0.032
θυγάτηρ daughter +1.20 Mythic 7.92e-26
ὁμολογέω to agree, admit, or confess +1.19 Mythic 0.00321
φανερόσ evident -1.19 Historical 0.0278
παρέχω I provide -1.18 Historical 7.34e-06
ὑπό δέ but under +1.16 Mythic 0.0457
ἔοικα I seem; I resemble +1.15 Mythic 0.0957
αὐτόσ ὑπό himself under +1.12 Mythic 0.0347
καταμένω to remain, to stay behind; to wait for +1.11 Mythic 0.0347
πεζόσ on foot; foot-soldier, infantryman -1.09 Historical 0.0457
οἶκοσ house; home +1.07 Mythic 0.0139
γυνή δέ but the woman +1.05 Mythic 0.07
γάμοσ marriage +1.05 Mythic 0.0473
τρόποσ manner; way -1.04 Historical 0.0485
γένοσ race; kind +1.02 Mythic 0.0376
τίκτω to beget, give birth to; bring forth, produce +1.01 Mythic 0.000281
ἀδελφή sister +1.00 Mythic 0.00321
διαβαίνω to cross -0.99 Historical 0.0394
υἱόσ son +0.97 Mythic 0.0108
θυγάτηρ καί daughter and +0.95 Mythic 0.00149
λόγοσ word; speech; account; reason; argument +0.94 Mythic 7.34e-06
χαλκοῦσ of bronze -0.93 Historical 3.83e-07
οὗτοσ γάρ for this man +0.93 Mythic 0.0485
μάλιστα especially; very much; certainly -0.93 Historical 2.94e-06
ἐξεργάζομαι to accomplish; to complete; to work out (thoroughly) +0.92 Mythic 0.07
εἴκοσι twenty -0.92 Historical 0.00697
οὗτοσ ποιέω I do this +0.92 Mythic 0.0677
ὅτε when +0.91 Mythic 0.0224
ἔνθα there; where; then +0.90 Mythic 0.0446
στρατεύω to campaign (militarily), wage war +0.90 Mythic 0.0888
ἄιδω I sing +0.88 Mythic 0.0485
καί ὄνομα and a name +0.88 Mythic 0.00289
βασιλεύω to be king; to reign; to rule +0.86 Mythic 3.27e-07
ἄλλοσ εἰμί I am someone else -0.85 Historical 0.0312
τελευτή end; completion; death +0.84 Mythic 0.0542
καί ἀπό and from +0.83 Mythic 0.00231
τρέφω to nourish, feed; rear, bring up +0.82 Mythic 0.0485
οὔτε neither; nor; and not -0.79 Historical 0.066
ἀπό οὗτοσ from this +0.77 Mythic 0.013
ποιητήσ poet +0.77 Mythic 0.07
καί ὅδε and this one +0.77 Mythic 0.0485
λέσχη clubhouse; meeting-hall +0.76 Mythic 0.07
ἐργάζομαι I work -0.75 Historical 0.0566
ὄνομα name +0.74 Mythic 3.52e-11
φόνοσ murder +0.74 Mythic 0.00181
περί δέ and concerning +0.73 Mythic 0.0457
πολέμιοσ enemy; hostile -0.72 Historical 0.0765
δέ γίγνομαι but I become +0.71 Mythic 0.0675
κομίζω I bring, carry, convey +0.70 Mythic 0.00321
εὑρίσκω I find, discover +0.69 Mythic 0.0653
ὄνομα εἰμί I am a name +0.68 Mythic 0.0457
ἔρχομαι I come; I go +0.67 Mythic 0.000281
νικάω to conquer; win -0.65 Historical 0.00564
ἀμύνω to ward off, keep off; defend, protect -0.64 Historical 0.0821
δοκέω to seem; to think, suppose +0.63 Mythic 0.0322
μνῆμα εἰμί I am a memorial +0.62 Mythic 0.000618
ὑπό καί under and +0.61 Mythic 0.0755
μέν δέ on the one hand ... on the other hand +0.60 Mythic 0.0592
ὅτι that; because +0.60 Mythic 0.00887
ἀποκτείνω to kill; to slay +0.59 Mythic 0.0763
ἔρχομαι εἰσ I come into +0.58 Mythic 0.0227
ἐν ἔποσ in a word +0.55 Mythic 0.00282
ὑπό under; by (of agent) +0.53 Mythic 7.29e-08
καί αὐτόσ and he himself -0.53 Historical 0.0821
τοσοῦτοσ so great -0.52 Historical 0.0566
κατά down (from); against; according to; along -0.50 Historical 0.0209
τέχνη art, craft, skill -0.49 Historical 0.0592
οὐ πολύσ not much -0.49 Historical 0.0234
εἰμί οὐ I am not -0.48 Historical 0.0274
μέν δή well then -0.47 Historical 0.0705
ἤδη already -0.45 Historical 0.0816
δέ ὄνομα but a name -0.45 Historical 0.00851
σφεῖσ they -0.44 Historical 7.5e-05
ἐγώ δοκέω I think +0.44 Mythic 0.0227
γραφή writing; (in Athenian law) public indictment +0.43 Mythic 0.0763
ὅσοσ as much/many as -0.42 Historical 0.000993
ἀποστέλλω I send out -0.40 Historical 0.0705
ἀφικνέομαι to arrive; to reach +0.40 Mythic 0.0446
στρατιά army -0.39 Historical 0.0227
γάρ δή for indeed +0.37 Mythic 0.0347
καί εἰσ and into -0.37 Historical 0.0765
θάπτω I bury +0.36 Mythic 0.000672
πολεμέω to wage war; be at war; fight (against) -0.36 Historical 0.0765
πολύσ much; many -0.35 Historical 0.000546
δέ αὐτόσ but he himself +0.34 Mythic 0.0215
τίθημι to put, place, set; establish; appoint +0.34 Mythic 0.0113
καί ἀποθνήισκω and I die +0.33 Mythic 0.0498
ἐρείπιον ruin; wreckage -0.33 Historical 0.0675
ὡσ as; like; how; that; when +0.32 Mythic 0.0347
λίθοσ stone -0.32 Historical 0.0457
πρῶτοσ first +0.26 Mythic 0.00933
οἶδα I know +0.25 Mythic 0.0227
ἀπόγονοσ descendant +0.24 Mythic 0.0755
ἄλλοσ other, another -0.24 Historical 0.0502
καί ὡσ and as +0.22 Mythic 0.085
δέ θυγάτηρ but the daughter +0.21 Mythic 0.00016
καί χρυσόσ and gold +0.21 Mythic 0.0902
καί γίγνομαι and I become +0.19 Mythic 0.0957
οὗτοσ this (man) +0.14 Mythic 0.00213
ἀπό from, away from -0.13 Historical 0.0172
γαμέω to marry -0.10 Historical 0.0705
χρυσόσ gold -0.09 Historical 0.0626
φεύγω I flee +0.09 Mythic 0.0485
πολύσ καί many and -0.08 Historical 0.0765
γίγνομαι I become; am born; happen +0.07 Mythic 0.00016
καί ὅτι and that +0.06 Mythic 0.0485
δέ μνῆμα but a memorial -0.06 Historical 0.0278
καί ὅσοσ and as much as -0.03 Historical 0.0899
ἔτοσ year -0.02 Historical 0.0485
ἀποθνήισκω to die, perish +0.02 Mythic 0.00016
ἐγώ I +0.01 Mythic 0.0409
γυνή woman; wife -0.01 Historical 0.00181
αὐτόσ self; he/she/it; the same (with the article) +0.01 Mythic 0.0366